Kutztown 
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 94.4752
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
226 A Shepherd PSAC ( 4-12, 90.0) 15- 7
228 H Bentley Northeast 10 (10- 6, 92.6) 16-11
303 H Bloomsburg PSAC ( 7-10, 90.5) 16- 2
307 H Southern New Hampshire Northeast 10 ( 8- 9, 90.9) 16- 7
310 H New Haven Northeast 10 (12- 5, 94.8) 13- 7
313 A Flagler Gulf South (11- 5, 95.8) 10-11
316 A St Leo Sunshine (13- 6, 96.5) 5-13
319 H East Stroudsburg PSAC (14- 5, 95.7) 9-18
322 H Shippensburg PSAC ( 8- 9, 91.9) 14- 7
326 A West Chester PSAC (18- 0, 98.2) 13-14
329 H Millersville PSAC (11- 7, 93.2) 20-12
402 A Bloomsburg PSAC ( 7-10, 90.5) 18-10
409 H Shepherd PSAC ( 4-12, 90.0) 18- 6
412 A East Stroudsburg PSAC (14- 5, 95.7) 9-16
416 H West Chester PSAC (18- 0, 98.2) 13-18
419 A Shippensburg PSAC ( 8- 9, 91.9) 10-11
423 A Millersville PSAC (11- 7, 93.2) 4-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
226 A Shepherd 15- 7 8 4 1.09
228 H Bentley 16-11 5 2 + 2.52
303 H Bloomsburg 16- 2 14 5 0.46
307 H Southern New Hampshire 16- 7 9 4 0.88
310 H New Haven 13- 7 6 0 ++ 4.81
313 A Flagler 10-11 -1 -2 0.90
316 A St Leo 5-13 -8 -3 - -2.42
319 H East Stroudsburg 9-18 -9 -1 -- -4.29
322 H Shippensburg 14- 7 7 3 1.85
326 A West Chester 13-14 -1 -4 + 3.30
329 H Millersville 20-12 8 2 + 3.15
402 A Bloomsburg 18-10 8 3 1.57
409 H Shepherd 18- 6 12 5 0.00
412 A East Stroudsburg 9-16 -7 -2 - -3.18
416 H West Chester 13-18 -5 -3 -1.80
419 A Shippensburg 10-11 -1 2 - -3.04
423 A Millersville 4-10 -6 1 -- -5.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 H East Stroudsburg 9-18 -9 -1 -- -4.29
423 A Millersville 4-10 -6 1 -- -5.74
316 A St Leo 5-13 -8 -3 - -2.42
412 A East Stroudsburg 9-16 -7 -2 - -3.18
419 A Shippensburg 10-11 -1 2 - -3.04
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
310 H New Haven 13- 7 6 0 ++ 4.81
228 H Bentley 16-11 5 2 + 2.52
326 A West Chester 13-14 -1 -4 + 3.30
329 H Millersville 20-12 8 2 + 3.15
|
Kutztown Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) |
Adelphi |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Kutztown |
American International |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Anderson (SC) |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Kutztown |
Ashland |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Assumption |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Barton |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Belmont Abbey |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Bentley |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
 
| |
Bloomsburg |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
 
| |
Bridgeport |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Caldwell |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Catawba |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Charleston |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Chestnut Hill |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Chowan |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Coker |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Colorado Mesa |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Concordia-St Paul |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Converse |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
CSU-Pueblo |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
D'Youville |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Daemen |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Davenport |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Davis & Elkins |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
District of Columbia |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Dominican (CA) |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Dominican (NY) |
East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
 
| |
Edinboro |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Emmanuel (GA) |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Emory & Henry |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Felician |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Findlay |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Flagler |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
Florida Southern   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Florida Tech |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Kutztown |
Fort Lewis |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Franklin Pierce |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Frostburg State |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Gannon |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Georgian Court |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Grand Valley State |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Holy Family |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
Indiana (PA) |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) |
Kutztown |
Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Indianapolis |
Lake Erie |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Lander |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Lee |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Lees-McRae |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Lewis |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Limestone |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Lincoln Memorial |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Lock Haven |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Lynn |
Lynn |
|
Lynn   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Malone |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Mars Hill |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Maryville |
Maryville |
|
 
| Maryville |
McKendree |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Mercy |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Kutztown |
Millersville |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) |
Kutztown |
Missouri Western |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Molloy |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Montevallo |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
Mount Olive |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Kutztown |
New Haven |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
 
| |
Newberry |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
North Greenville |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Northern Michigan |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Northwood |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Pace |
Pace |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Pace |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Kutztown |
Post |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Quincy |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Regis (CO) |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Kutztown |
Rockhurst |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Rollins |
Rollins |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rollins |
Saginaw Valley State |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Seton Hill |
Kutztown |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Kutztown |
Shepherd |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
 
| |
Shippensburg |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 3 vs 0- 5 |
|
Shorter |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Slippery Rock |
Southern Connecticut |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Southern New Hampshire |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
 
| |
Southern Wesleyan |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
St Anselm |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
St Leo |
St Leo |
St Leo |
 
| |
St Michaels |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
St Thomas Aquinas |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Tampa |
Tampa |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Tampa |
Thomas Jefferson |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
Thomas More |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Tiffin |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Tusculum |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Ursuline |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
UVA Wise |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Virginia State |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Walsh |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
West Chester |
West Chester |
West Chester |
 
| |
West Virginia Wesleyan |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Westminster (UT) |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Wheeling |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Kutztown |
William Jewell |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Wilmington (DE) |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 2 vs 1- 2 |
|
Wingate |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
Young Harris |
Kutztown |
|
 
| Kutztown |
PowerWise = 96

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Shepherd ( 4-12, 90.0) 15- 7 -9.89 21.29 0.55 0.95 20.77
0 H Bentley (10- 6, 92.6) 16-11 -7.35 23.83 -0.55 0.95 22.13
0 H Bloomsburg ( 7-10, 90.5) 16- 2 -9.41 21.77 -0.55 0.95 20.17
0 H Southern New H ( 8- 9, 90.9) 16- 7 -8.99 22.19 -0.55 0.95 20.57
0 H New Haven (12- 5, 94.8) 13- 7 -5.06 26.12 -0.55 0.95 24.31
0 A Flagler (11- 5, 95.8) 10-11 -4.08 27.10 0.55 0.95 -3.36
0 A St Leo (13- 6, 96.5) 5-13 -3.40 27.78 0.55 0.95 -2.71
0 H East Stroudsbu (14- 5, 95.7) 9-18 -4.16 27.02 -0.55 0.95 -4.48
0 H Shippensburg ( 8- 9, 91.9) 14- 7 -8.02 23.16 -0.55 0.95 21.49
0 A West Chester (18- 0, 98.2) 13-14 -1.68 29.51 0.55 0.95 -1.07
0 H Millersville (11- 7, 93.2) 20-12 -6.72 24.46 -0.55 0.95 22.73
0 A Bloomsburg ( 7-10, 90.5) 18-10 -9.41 21.77 0.55 0.95 21.22
0 H Shepherd ( 4-12, 90.0) 18- 6 -9.89 21.29 -0.55 0.95 19.71
0 A East Stroudsbu (14- 5, 95.7) 9-16 -4.16 27.02 0.55 0.95 -3.43
0 H West Chester (18- 0, 98.2) 13-18 -1.68 29.51 -0.55 0.95 -2.12
0 A Shippensburg ( 8- 9, 91.9) 10-11 -8.02 23.16 0.55 0.95 -7.10
0 A Millersville (11- 7, 93.2) 4-10 -6.72 24.46 0.55 0.95 -5.86
------
162.98
|
winning pts = 193.0907 losing points = -30.1144
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------